TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score more goals than Qingdao Xihaian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC score more goals than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score more goals than Qingdao Xihaian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC score more goals than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information over time. For this match, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the second half differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of each outcome by buying and selling shares, with the share price representing the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market for the second half result operates on an automated market maker model, meaning prices adjust continuously based on order flow and liquidity. As traders express conviction by purchasing shares in a particular outcome, that outcome's price rises and others fall. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders, updated in real time as new positions are opened or closed.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the second half of the match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score during the second half period only, not the full match. Winning shares are paid out based on which outcome occurred: a win for Shenzhen, a win for Qingdao, or a draw. Resolution typically follows within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key events that could shift this market include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes announced before kickoff. In-game developments during the first half—goals, red cards, or momentum swings—often influence trader expectations for the second half outcome. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and recent form of both squads may also influence positions. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market with large positions can trigger rapid repricing. Social media sentiment and expert commentary closer to match time can drive retail participation and volatility in the odds.