TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying solely on oddsmakers' models. On Polymarket, prices shift continuously as new information emerges and participants update their views. Sportsbooks, by contrast, adjust less frequently and may incorporate different risk management strategies. This market can offer an alternative gauge of probability, especially useful when you want to see how a distributed crowd of traders—rather than a single entity—prices the outcome of this first-goal scenario.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that balances buy and sell orders in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate confidence of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome falls. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trades directly influence the displayed probability. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and shifting expectations throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed through credible public reporting of the final result. Until that point, this market remains open for trading, allowing you to adjust your position as the event approaches or as new developments emerge. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the information is publicly available.
Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly impact trader expectations and shift odds in this market. Pre-match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, and expert commentary may also influence sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments closer to kickoff could prompt rapid repricing. Additionally, early trading activity and large positions taken by prominent traders often signal conviction and can catalyze broader price movements as other participants react to perceived shifts in probability.