TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For soccer exact scores, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options, whereas this market allows traders to price every possible result. Prediction markets may incorporate late-breaking team news or injury updates faster than traditional books adjust their lines, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced pricing on specific scorelines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome is a separate contract, and the platform displays the probability of each scoreline as a percentage between 0 and 100. As traders buy or sell shares in a particular result, the price moves to reflect changing sentiment. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction, with traders able to enter or exit positions at the displayed price until the market resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, with the winning contract corresponding to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or coaching changes that alter perceived match dynamics. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Weather conditions or venue factors may influence how open or defensive each team plays. As match day approaches, late-breaking updates on player availability or tactical adjustments often trigger repricing. Trading volume and new money entering the market can also amplify moves around specific outcomes traders believe are underpriced.