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406,019

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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC?

Volume:
$234,588

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$102,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shenzhen Peng City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,576
N/A
N/A
$31,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Qingdao West Coast FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,360
N/A
N/A
$23,547
Settled
No
polymarket

Qingdao Xihaian FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,039
N/A
N/A
$12,233
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (also referred to as Shenzhen Peng City) and Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) scheduled for July 11, 2026. Three binary markets on Polymarket ask whether Shenzhen wins, Qingdao wins, or the match ends in a draw, while Kalshi offers a single three-outcome market covering all possible results after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on the same core resolution logic: official CSL match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics and governing body declarations, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match result determined by goals scored in first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win resolves to Yes if Shenzhen scores more goals than Qingdao
  • Qingdao Xihaian FC win resolves to Yes if Qingdao scores more goals than Shenzhen
  • Draw resolves to Yes if both teams score equal goals
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game: Shenzhen win market resolves No, Qingdao win market resolves No, Draw market resolves Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; resolution then follows standard logic based on final result
  • Cancellation without make-up: Polymarket win markets (Shenzhen and Qingdao) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi three-outcome market treats cancellation as equivalent to a draw outcome
  • Score revision after resolution: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be reaccounted; resolution stands as originally declared
  • Source timing: Official CSL statistics are primary source if published within 2 hours of match conclusion; credible reporting consensus used only if official statistics unavailable within this window
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CSL statistics must be published or consensus established within 2 hours of match conclusion for market settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Shenzhen Peng City vs Qingdao West Coast FC professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A victory for Shenzhen Peng City resolves their market to Yes, while a victory for Qingdao West Coast FC resolves their market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—no house edge. This market's odds emerge from decentralized price discovery: traders buy and sell shares based on their genuine belief in each outcome. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probabilities over time, especially as new information surfaces. Comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a team relative to the other.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds on the same match due to distinct trader populations, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different demographics and risk appetites, so consensus probability naturally varies. Liquidity imbalances mean large trades move prices more sharply on lower-volume venues. Additionally, platform-specific rules around order types and settlement timing can influence how traders price uncertainty. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities for sharp traders who monitor both books simultaneously.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or managerial decisions for either squad can trigger sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings shifts influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors closer to match day may also sway sentiment. Major news—such as a player suspension or unexpected lineup rotation—often prompts rapid repricing across both platforms. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and sports news outlets helps you anticipate market moves before they happen.