TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC
polymarket
kalshi

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Volume:
$287,039

Chengdu Rongcheng

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 9:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chengdu Rongcheng

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$97,173
N/A
N/A
$42,770
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chengdu Rongcheng FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,146
N/A
N/A
$40,483
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shenzhen Peng City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,889
N/A
N/A
$23,419
Settled
No
polymarket

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC scheduled for June 27, 2026. Three markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms, covering draw outcomes, individual team wins, and combined match results. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official CSL statistics determine the outcome, with consistent handling of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations (draw resolves Yes, team wins resolve No).Primary resolution logic: Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics and governing body declarations, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
  • Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if match ends level, No if either team wins
  • Team-win markets (Polymarket) resolve Yes only if that specific team wins in regulation, No otherwise
  • Kalshi market resolves Yes for any outcome (Chengdu win, Shenzhen win, or tie)
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, draw markets resolve Yes and team-win markets resolve No
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves Yes and all team-win markets resolve No.
  • Score Revision After Resolution: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
  • Kalshi Omnibus Market: The Kalshi market covering all three outcomes (Chengdu win, tie, or Shenzhen win) resolves Yes regardless of which outcome occurs, making it a tautological market that always resolves affirmatively.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final statistics are published by the Chinese Super League or governing body, with a 2-hour window for official publication before credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, June 27, 2026 between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Peng City and Chengdu Rongcheng originally scheduled for June 27, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—a win for Shenzhen Peng City, a win for Chengdu Rongcheng, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the actual match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Sportsbook odds often reflect sharp professional action and closing line value, while prediction market prices can lag or lead depending on retail participation and information flow. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal which platform is pricing the match more efficiently relative to real-world probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics and operate under different fee structures, liquidity depths, and regulatory frameworks. Polymarket's order-book model may price outcomes differently than Kalshi's binary contract design, especially if one platform has concentrated liquidity or fewer active participants on this specific match. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when spreads widen; sharp traders exploit these gaps, but temporary divergences often persist due to withdrawal friction and platform-specific trading costs.

Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will drive price movement leading up to kickoff. Weather conditions, venue changes, or fixture postponements could trigger sharp repricing. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts—will cause rapid volatility once play begins. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move prices in the final hours before the match, so monitoring volume and bid-ask spreads on both platforms can signal where informed traders are positioning.