TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Shelbourne FC and Nõmme Kalju FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC score more goals than Nõmme Kalju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shelbourne FC and Nõmme Kalju FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC score more goals than Shelbourne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Shelbourne FC and Nõmme Kalju FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC score more goals than Nõmme Kalju FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shelbourne FC and Nõmme Kalju FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nõmme Kalju FC" if Nõmme Kalju FC score more goals than Shelbourne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms for price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous buying and selling. This market's odds represent crowdsourced expectations from participants with real financial stakes, which can sometimes offer a different perspective than fixed sportsbook lines. Both sources provide useful reference points, but they operate under distinct incentive structures.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price adjusts upward and others adjust downward. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with prices determined by the depth and direction of order flow.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the actual scoreline and final result during the second half only, independent of what occurred in the first half. Resolution is straightforward: the market will settle based on the confirmed match data. Traders should monitor official match records and reliable sports news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could shift odds before this market resolves. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced closer to kickoff—often triggers sharp price movements. Early match momentum, including goals scored or red cards in the first half, typically influences second-half expectations significantly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also sway trader positioning. As Jul 23, 2026 approaches, any official announcements from either club or developments in their league standings may prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bets accordingly.