TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Sheffield Wednesday and Wolverhampton, focusing specifically on the margin of victory for either team during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for decisive wins, reflecting how strongly one team dominates the other within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event evaluates whether either Sheffield Wednesday or Wolverhampton achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differences in their EFL Cup match scheduled for August 25, 2026. All resolutions occur solely based on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Sheffield Wednesday wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Wolverhampton wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. The event explicitly clarifies that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the regulation time spread market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuanced factors or recent developments that sportsbooks have not yet adjusted for. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, making the regulation time spread market an alternative view of the match outlook. Comparing the two can provide insight into where public and market traders differ in their expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes — excluding any extra time — will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will close based on that official result.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 26, 2026. Injuries or lineup changes for either team might alter expected scoring patterns. Momentum shifts demonstrated in recent matches, or tactical adjustments by coaches, can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, weather conditions, referee announcements, or any disciplinary actions could impact perceptions of likely outcomes. As the match approaches, any news affecting team performance or strategy has the potential to move this market significantly.