TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sheffield Wednesday and Wigan, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds define whether the event is considered successful for each possible winner.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Sheffield Wednesday wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Similarly, if Wigan wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for Wigan. The rules specify distinct victory margins for each team, with varying threshold requirements, and all outcomes are determined solely by regular time results. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the goal of balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the core mechanics of the exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan match will be determined by the official result published by the governing sporting body. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final outcome will be verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Sheffield Wednesday or Wigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff could also shift the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.