TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on September 21, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on September 21, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability of “Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom” achieving a high Rotten Tomatoes score. This contrasts with initial analyst forecasts, which were more conservative, predicting a score in the 70-80 range. However, as more reviews are released, the market is dynamically adjusting to reflect the critical reception. It’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the total payout a share is worth, with higher prices signifying greater confidence in a score of at least 95. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final Rotten Tomatoes score for “Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom” is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the Tomatometer score as reported by Rotten Tomatoes at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor Rotten Tomatoes for the official score release to understand the final outcome of this market. The market will then settle based on whether the score meets or exceeds the 95 threshold.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Early reviews from prominent film critics will likely have a significant impact, as will the overall critical reception of the film upon its release. Positive buzz and strong word-of-mouth could drive the price up, while negative reviews could cause it to fall. Any significant news or controversies surrounding the film could also create volatility in this market. Traders should closely monitor film review websites and social media for these signals.