TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 8:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Marat Sharipov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Yosuke Watanuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Marat Sharipov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Yosuke Watanuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand among participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Comparing the odds can highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a particular outcome, providing a valuable data point for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by the forces of supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome. The current market volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yosuke Watanuki vs Marat Sharipov match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public sentiment could all lead to price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence and trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market responds to new information as the match approaches.