TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Zhejiang Zhiye FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Zhejiang Zhiye FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Zhejiang Zhiye FC" if Zhejiang Zhiye FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one allow traders to continuously adjust prices based on new information and collective sentiment. In many cases, prediction markets respond faster to breaking news—such as team injuries or lineup changes—than traditional sportsbooks do. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional handicapping, whereas this market aggregates the views of all participating traders, sometimes leading to different implied probabilities for the same outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome, with the current market price reflecting the consensus probability at any given moment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among traders, though prices remain fluid and can shift rapidly as new match information emerges. Liquidity and trading volume influence how easily participants can enter or exit positions, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods. The continuous nature of price discovery means odds update in real time rather than remaining static like traditional sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and any relevant match records maintained by the league or governing body. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust positions as the fixture progresses and new developments emerge. Resolution timing may shift slightly depending on when authoritative match data becomes available, but the market will settle definitively once the second half conclusion is established.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the match concludes. Team news—such as confirmed injuries, suspensions, or last-minute lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Early match momentum, including goals scored or defensive lapses in the first half, typically influences second-half expectations, as traders reassess tactical adjustments and fatigue levels. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or unexpected tactical shifts announced pre-match can also sway sentiment. Additionally, real-time developments during the first half, such as a player ejection or an early goal, frequently prompt traders to recalibrate their second-half outcome predictions.