TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sports betting sites because prediction market participants include analysts, bettors, and informed enthusiasts all competing to price outcomes accurately. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from market-derived consensus, though both aim to reflect the true likelihood of the final score.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each exact-score outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The most heavily traded outcome currently reflects strong conviction among participants. Prices adjust continuously as new trades flow in, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, team updates, or shifting sentiment in real time. Liquidity and order-book depth determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given price level.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-match expectations, team form, and any developments that might influence how the game unfolds.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader conviction about likely scorelines. Weather conditions, venue factors, and motivational context—such as playoff implications or rivalry intensity—may also influence expectations. As match day approaches, final team sheets and pre-game commentary typically drive late price adjustments. Any surprise developments in the hours before kickoff could trigger sharp repricing across all outcomes.