TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially for less-obvious scorelines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value that conventional oddsmakers have missed or mispriced.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome trades as a separate contract, and the cumulative probability of all possible results should theoretically equal 100 percent, though in practice small arbitrage gaps exist. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, but prices shift continuously as new information emerges and positions change hands.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Jinmen Hu concludes. The outcome is determined by the final score at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct exact scoreline receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if the match is officially abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—can significantly shift odds for different scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings all influence trader expectations. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. As match day approaches, this market typically sees increased volatility and volume as traders finalize positions and new information becomes available.