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405,232

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2,693

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5

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Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC?

Volume:
$638,329

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC

 - Polymarket

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,885
N/A
N/A
$40,991
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141,066
N/A
N/A
$56,460
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Shenhua FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shanghai Shenhua

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,390
N/A
N/A
$56,616
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC scheduled for July 18, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the match outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official CSL result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.Primary resolution logic: Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics published at csl-china.com; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by official CSL final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Shanghai Shenhua win market resolves Yes if Shanghai Shenhua scores more goals; No otherwise
  • Tianjin Jinmen Hu win market resolves Yes if Tianjin Jinmen Hu scores more goals; No otherwise
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No otherwise
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match has been completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match is played.
  • Match Cancellation with No Make-up Game: Shanghai Shenhua win market resolves No, Tianjin Jinmen Hu win market resolves No, and draw market resolves Yes.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If CSL does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used for resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official CSL statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established, typically within 2 hours of match end.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the final result of the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scheduled for July 18, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution excludes extra time and penalties. The match result is classified into three mutually exclusive outcomes: a win for Shanghai Shenhua, a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw after regulation time, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 18 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Shanghai Shenhua vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu match. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of outcomes in real time, creating a live consensus view of match expectations. The combined volume across venues reflects active interest in this fixture. By tracking prices side by side, you can see how different market participants weigh team form, head-to-head history, and current conditions. This cross-platform perspective helps identify where the strongest conviction lies and whether consensus is building or shifting as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and manage risk through margin; prediction markets let traders themselves set prices through supply and demand. This often means prediction markets react faster to new information and can reflect crowd wisdom more directly. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional analysis and tighter risk controls. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional estimates. Neither is inherently more accurate, but each offers a distinct lens on match probability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different prices on the same outcome due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which influence how quickly prices adjust. One venue may have more active volume or deeper order books, allowing prices to move more efficiently. Regulatory differences, platform-specific rules, and timing of information flow can also create temporary gaps. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across both venues, but windows of divergence offer opportunities for alert traders to spot value.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or roster changes—often triggers sharp price moves in football markets. Tactical announcements, recent form swings, and head-to-head momentum can shift trader conviction significantly. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence odds if they favor one side's style of play. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can amplify moves, especially if a respected analyst shifts their view. Late-breaking lineup confirmations typically cause the most volatile repricing in the final hours before kickoff. Monitoring team news feeds and live team sheets will help you anticipate where this market is headed.