Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Shanghai Shenhua win, Liaoning Tieren win, or draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Chinese Super League (CSL) governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Shanghai Shenhua win market resolves YES if Shanghai Shenhua scores more goals; otherwise NO.
Liaoning Tieren win market resolves YES if Liaoning Tieren scores more goals; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Shanghai Shenhua win and Liaoning Tieren win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the final result is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES while both team-specific win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Official CSL statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the Chinese Super League governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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