TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 12:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Shenhua FC and Beijing Guoan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Beijing Guoan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Shenhua FC and Beijing Guoan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time trader consensus. This market reflects what thousands of participants collectively believe will happen, often incorporating diverse information sources and expert insight. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in how different venues value the same outcome, though prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed knowledge efficiently over time.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate demand across all participants, with shares trading between 0 and 1 based on perceived probability. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time. This decentralized pricing mechanism means the odds you see represent the live consensus of the trading community at that exact moment.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Shanghai Shenhua versus Beijing Guoan match concludes and the second half result is verified. The outcome is determined by the final score or result during the second half period only, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the event is officially confirmed and the market settles. The exact timing may depend on when the match finishes and results are publicly available.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movements. Early match momentum during the first half can influence trader expectations for the second half outcome. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or recent form updates may also prompt repositioning. Additionally, any breaking news about player availability or tactical adjustments could cause traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.