TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 6:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Rigele Te in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Rigele Te. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Rigele Te in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Rigele Te. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and can diverge based on differing opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, driven by the informed opinions of participants actively trading on the platform, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rio Noguchi vs Rigele Te match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring sports news and analysis, as well as observing trading volume on Polymarket, will provide insights into potential catalysts for price movement.