TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Shanghai Port and Dalian Yingbo FC compete in a professional Chinese Super League soccer match on July 12, 2026. The result is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the outcome of the Shanghai Port vs Dalian Yingbo FC professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A draw after regulation time resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Traders here have strong incentives to incorporate all available information, which can lead to sharper odds. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where public perception and trader conviction differ, offering insight into which side the market favors most.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the balance of supply and demand, with each share worth between 0 and 100 cents depending on the perceived likelihood of that outcome. As new information surfaces or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts in real time. This transparent, peer-to-peer pricing model ensures that odds evolve dynamically based on genuine market participation rather than a fixed algorithm.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the final score and match conclusion as documented by authoritative sports sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift. Once the event concludes and the outcome is verified, all positions settle according to the confirmed result, and traders receive payouts based on their holdings.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Team news—injuries, roster changes, or managerial decisions—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings provide context that traders monitor closely. Weather conditions on match day, betting line movements at major sportsbooks, and social media sentiment can also influence perception. As the event date approaches, any official announcements or unexpected developments will likely prompt traders to adjust positions, causing visible price swings on the dashboard.