TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC
Volume:
$69,814
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Shanghai Haigang FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi reference different teams with different naming conventions (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Port; Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Wuhan Three Towns FC), creating team identity ambiguity. Additionally, Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (tie, Shanghai Port win, or Wuhan Three Towns FC win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market—it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Polymarket's three binary markets (Shanghai Haigang win, draw, Wuhan San Zhen win) are coherent, but verify team identity alignment with official CSL records before committing capital. If Shanghai Haigang FC and Shanghai Port are the same entity, and Wuhan San Zhen FC and Wuhan Three Towns FC are the same entity, Polymarket is tradeable; otherwise, both platforms face team mismatch risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Shanghai Haigang FC win (YES/NO), draw (YES/NO), and Wuhan San Zhen FC win (YES/NO). Resolution is based on official CSL statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no make-up resolves draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Primary source: https://www.csl-china.com/. Team names: Shanghai Haigang FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Tie wins... then YES. If Shanghai Port wins... then YES. If Wuhan Three Towns FC wins... then YES.' This creates a logical contradiction—the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable. Team names: Shanghai Port and Wuhan Three Towns FC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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