TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Haigang FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Shanghai Shenhua FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Haigang FC and Shanghai Shenhua FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Shenhua FC" if Shanghai Shenhua FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on second-half probabilities, potentially signaling value or contrarian opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades and the current balance of capital in the market. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time to reflect shifting expectations about the second-half result. This continuous pricing model ensures that the market price always represents the marginal trader's assessment of probability at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the Shanghai Haigang versus Shenhua match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result recorded for the second half of the fixture. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome will receive their payout based on the confirmed result. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as new match information and team developments emerge.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; a strong or weak opening 45 minutes typically reshapes expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends can also influence trader positioning. In-game momentum swings during the first half will likely drive the most significant price movements, as traders adjust their second-half forecasts based on how the match unfolds.