TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial risk. Prediction markets frequently incorporate information faster than sportsbooks update their lines, especially for niche events or late-breaking developments. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook offerings can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their chosen scoreline, and the price they pay reflects the current implied probability. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a continuous equilibrium. This mechanism ensures tight spreads and deep liquidity, allowing both small and large positions to execute efficiently throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time, with no ambiguity about which result has occurred. Resolution happens automatically once the event result is confirmed, and all winning positions are paid out according to their share value. Traders should monitor official match announcements to confirm timing and any potential delays.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement in this market, as traders reassess each side's scoring capacity. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can all shift odds as the match date approaches. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or late roster updates may also influence expectations. Trading volume often spikes in the final hours before kickoff as casual bettors enter and professionals lock in positions. Live match developments, such as early goals or red cards, will cause dramatic repricing once the game begins.