TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC
kalshi
polymarket

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC

Volume:
$123,967

Shanghai Haigang FC

 - Polymarket

Shanghai Haigang FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shanghai Haigang FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shanghai Port

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,360
N/A
N/A
$10,017
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Qingdao Xihaian FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Qingdao West Coast FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,787
N/A
N/A
$5,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,998
N/A
N/A
$5,004
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shanghai Haigang FC (also referred to as Shanghai Port) and Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) scheduled for March 15, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the match outcome: win/loss for each team and draw scenarios, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three possible match outcomes (Qingdao win, Draw, Shanghai Port win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable and always settling Yes. Polymarket offers three separate, properly structured binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market due to structural failure. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead. Confirm with platform support whether Kalshi intends to offer three separate markets or if this is a data entry error. If trading, assume Kalshi will always resolve Yes and price accordingly as a guaranteed payout.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapping to Yes: Qingdao win → Yes, Draw → Yes, Shanghai Port win → Yes. This creates logical impossibility where market cannot resolve to No under any match outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity: Market 1 (Qingdao win) resolves Yes/No, Market 2 (Draw) resolves Yes/No, Market 3 (Shanghai win) resolves Yes/No. Cancellation without makeup resolves to No (except draw market resolves Yes). Official CSL statistics primary source, credible reporting fallback within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.