TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC
Volume:
$123,967
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shanghai Haigang FC (also referred to as Shanghai Port) and Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) scheduled for March 15, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the match outcome: win/loss for each team and draw scenarios, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three possible match outcomes (Qingdao win, Draw, Shanghai Port win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable and always settling Yes. Polymarket offers three separate, properly structured binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market due to structural failure. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead. Confirm with platform support whether Kalshi intends to offer three separate markets or if this is a data entry error. If trading, assume Kalshi will always resolve Yes and price accordingly as a guaranteed payout.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapping to Yes: Qingdao win → Yes, Draw → Yes, Shanghai Port win → Yes. This creates logical impossibility where market cannot resolve to No under any match outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity: Market 1 (Qingdao win) resolves Yes/No, Market 2 (Draw) resolves Yes/No, Market 3 (Shanghai win) resolves Yes/No. Cancellation without makeup resolves to No (except draw market resolves Yes). Official CSL statistics primary source, credible reporting fallback within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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