TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Dalian Yingbo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Dalian Yingbo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC" if Dalian Yingbo FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. Sportsbooks typically adjust for sharp money and public sentiment, whereas this market prices the second-half result based purely on what traders are willing to buy or sell. Over time, prediction markets have shown accuracy in sports outcomes, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparing implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity allocated to that result; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trade size determines the price you receive based on the current pool state. Polymarket charges a small fee on trades, which is factored into the spread between bid and ask prices.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second 45 minutes of regulation play. If the second half ends in a draw, the corresponding outcome resolves to yes. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Team news and injury updates can shift expectations before kickoff, particularly if a key player is ruled out. Tactical announcements or lineup changes may influence trader sentiment about each side's attacking or defensive capability in the second half. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates early, traders will reprice the second-half odds to reflect momentum and fatigue patterns. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards during the first half can also reshape probabilities. Live betting sentiment and sharp money flowing into either outcome will move prices in real time as the match unfolds.