TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent traders believe will occur, potentially offering a more efficient signal than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking, though both sources provide valuable context for understanding event likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker, with each contract representing a specific final result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction around a particular scoreline. Prices adjust continuously as new trades occur, and participants can buy or sell any exact score at the displayed price. Liquidity pools determine the spread between bid and ask, so deeper pools typically offer tighter pricing and easier entry or exit for traders managing positions.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No settlement ambiguity arises if the match is completed under standard rules; however, postponements or cancellations could affect resolution timing. Traders should monitor official league announcements for any schedule changes or unusual circumstances that might impact when this market settles.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can significantly shift odds for specific scorelines. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records influence trader positioning as the event approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and lineup announcements often trigger repricing in the final hours before kickoff. Live match developments, such as early goals or red cards, will cause sharp moves in real time. Traders monitoring these catalysts can identify moments when odds diverge from underlying probabilities and adjust positions accordingly.