TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Pavel Kotov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and include a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively assess the probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison point for anyone analyzing the Ymer vs Kotov match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ymer vs Kotov match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ymer vs Kotov match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or significant changes in their recent form, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could cause short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in overall market perception of the Ymer vs Kotov match.