TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Tung-Lin Wu in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Tung-Lin Wu. This market will resolve to 'Tung-Lin Wu' if Tung-Lin Wu advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Tung-Lin Wu in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Tung-Lin Wu. This market will resolve to 'Tung-Lin Wu' if Tung-Lin Wu advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Binda vs Wu match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Binda vs Wu match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or significant performance updates for either Alexandr Binda or Tung-Lin Wu could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or playing conditions could also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.