TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 5:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines whether the fight between Shanelle Dyer and Elise Reed concludes before the start of round 2 or round 3. It hinges on an early finish, such as a knockout, submission, or disqualification, occurring in the specified rounds.
The market resolves if the fight ends before the specified round begins. For the first market (ends before round 2), this means the fight concludes in round 1 via KO, TKO, Submission, or DQ. For the second market (ends before round 3), this means the fight concludes in round 1 or 2 via the same methods. The markets do not resolve for decisions, draws, or no contests, as these are not considered early finishes. The fight must be the one scheduled for Aug 22, 2026.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated wisdom of informed traders rather than set bookmaker margins. While sportsbooks may favor a particular finish based on public betting trends, prediction markets can price in nuanced outcomes based on deeper analysis and real-time data.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects collective expectations about how the fight will conclude, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information. Volume of $53,319 shows overall interest, while recent activity through $52,106 highlights short-term shifts. As the event approaches, any updates to fighter conditions or betting trends can cause noticeable changes in the odds.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round of finish is determined by the official result of the bout, and the market will settle based on that verified data.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 23, 2026. Injuries, training updates, or changes to fight strategy might shift trader sentiment dramatically. Media coverage and expert analysis often drive short-term price swings, especially when new information emerges about either competitor’s readiness. As the event nears, any last-minute announcements or betting patterns will likely cause the most significant movements in this market’s probability.