TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Shandong Taishan FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shandong Taishan FC" if Shandong Taishan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Shandong Taishan FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shandong Taishan FC" if Shandong Taishan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match kickoff approaches. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the broader betting public sees value or where informed traders disagree with conventional bookmaker pricing on which team scores first.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares directly affects the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all participants; as more traders back Shandong Taishan FC to score first, the price rises, and vice versa. Liquidity providers ensure continuous trading, while the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases. This dynamic pricing model means the odds update in real time based on new information, team news, or shifting trader conviction about the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or established sports data providers. No outcome is final until the event is complete and the result is publicly verifiable. Traders should monitor the match live and any official announcements to understand when resolution will occur.
Team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts can significantly impact odds on which side scores first. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day can affect play style and scoring likelihood. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or manager statements often trigger sharp price movements. Live match developments—early pressure, fouls, or near-misses—will drive real-time adjustments right up until the first goal is scored.