TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 9:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1 between Shaanxi Union FC and Yanbian Longding. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the full-time result of the Shaanxi Union FC vs Yanbian Longding professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Shaanxi Union FC, a win for Yanbian Longding, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves as the winner. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
On Kalshi, the current odds in the Shaanxi vs Yanbian match outcome market reflect trader sentiment, often showing differences from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets can price in nuanced factors like recent form and injuries more dynamically. Sportsbook odds, influenced by broader betting volumes and different risk models, may appear more conservative or shifted by public bias. Traders watch both sets of odds for arbitrage opportunities or confirmation signals, though the two systems operate on distinct principles. The gap between them can widen before major news, such as a star player’s status update.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through buying and selling contracts, with the top outcome’s current chance displayed as a percentage. Market depth and recent trades determine the visible odds, which adjust continuously based on volume and participant sentiment. The platform’s pricing mechanism aggregates these micro-transactions to reflect the collective view of its user base. Liquidity can vary sharply around key match developments, influencing how quickly prices move in response to new information.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the confirmed winner or draw. After the match ends, the platform will finalise the market based on authoritative sports news sources and official league records, ensuring the settlement aligns with the actual event outcome.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the match, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift trader sentiment in this market. Mid-week friendly matches or recent performance metrics may also influence perceptions of team momentum. Any last-minute lineup announcements or disciplinary actions — such as suspensions — often trigger rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities. Volume spikes typically accompany these updates, reflecting heightened interest and uncertainty among participants.