TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Shaanxi Union FC and Dalian Kun City in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that scheduled match date.
The event involves three markets resolving based on the result of the Shaanxi Union FC vs Dalian Kun City professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The 'Shaanxi Union FC' market resolves to Yes if Shaanxi Union FC wins the match within regular time. The 'Dalian Kun City' market resolves to Yes if Dalian Kun City wins the match within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie after regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution exclusively considers the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set their lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of a particular outcome. If prediction market participants collectively believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that reflects their superior insight. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more accurate probabilities than traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Shaanxi vs Dalian match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influence price discovery and stability. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaanxi Union FC versus Dalian Kun City match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match statements from key players, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market sentiment, potentially leading to substantial price adjustments before this market resolves.