TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams. It specifically tracks performance during regulation time of the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that quarter, with a tie resulting in a distinct resolution.
The market determines the winner of the fourth quarter in the SF 49ers vs LA Rams game scheduled for September 10, 2026, excluding overtime. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: Los Angeles Rams winning the quarter, San Francisco 49ers winning the quarter, or a tie where both teams score equally. Points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time are the sole factor in resolving the market. If the teams finish the quarter with the same score, all team-specific outcomes resolve to No, and the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. The markets are independent of the overall game result and focus exclusively on fourth-quarter performance during regular play.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as more information becomes available and the market incorporates new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations regarding the 49ers and Rams’ performance in the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the game between the 49ers and the Rams will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the 49ers or the Rams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it impacts the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant showing by one team, would likely be reflected in the market prices. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also trigger adjustments to the odds on Kalshi.