TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the game, highlighting the potential for shifting momentum within a single quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams. If Los Angeles scores more points in that quarter, the 'Los Angeles R wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco scores more points, the 'San Francisco wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams finish the quarter with equal points, neither team market wins, and the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome, and the broader game result does not affect this market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. However, sportsbook odds can influence trading activity, and both may converge as the event approaches, especially if public sentiment aligns with expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the third quarter of the 49ers vs. Rams game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning team, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the 49ers or the Rams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed during pre-game reports might also lead to adjustments in probabilities. Finally, large-volume trades by informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and trigger further price fluctuations.