TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets share this same resolving criterion, differentiated solely by their point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. The outcome is determined immediately after the conclusion of the third quarter, with no consideration for points scored in any other quarter or after the game's conclusion. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, allowing for multiple markets to resolve as Yes or No depending on the actual point total.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or analytical approaches not fully considered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets move independently, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 3rd quarter total will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' contracts lowers the price, suggesting a shift in expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total score from the SF 49ers vs LA Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score as reported by the league’s official sources. The market will determine whether the 3rd quarter total will be over or under the threshold established by the market's contract specifications at the time of trading.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the 49ers or the Rams would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions that could affect the game's scoring. Changes in offensive or defensive strategies announced by either team could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, early game performance in the first and second quarters could lead to adjustments in expectations for the 3rd quarter total, causing the market to react accordingly.