TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Thiago Cigarran in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Thiago Cigarran in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the probabilities established here. It’s always wise to compare both to assess the potential for profitable predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly translates to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The platform's design encourages accurate predictions as traders are incentivized to correctly assess the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the fight between Tiago Pereira and Thiago Cigarran, as reported by established sports news sources and fight records. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes in their fight strategy could significantly shift sentiment. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as expert analysis from MMA commentators, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market before Sep 13, 2026.