TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Pavel Lagutin in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Pavel Lagutin in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public interest in the Pereira vs Lagutin match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pereira vs Lagutin match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the collective intelligence of the participants, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiago Pereira vs Pavel Lagutin match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of this competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Tiago Pereira or Pavel Lagutin, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, tactical adjustments, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of each outcome.