TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Dusan Lajovic in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Dusan Lajovic in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet priced in by bookmakers. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as traders share and react to news and analysis regarding the Alcala Gurri vs Lajovic match. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Alcala Gurri will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the match’s result, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alcala Gurri vs Lajovic match as declared by the governing tennis authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the official result. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, providing confidence in the integrity of the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the predicted outcome.