TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Pavel Lagutin in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Pavel Lagutin in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Gonzalez Fernandez' if Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If there’s a significant difference, it might suggest that prediction market traders have access to information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable tool for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Pavel Lagutin. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share ownership at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches and ultimately, to assess potential trading opportunities.