TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Jaume Munar will advance against Oriol Roca Batalla in their scheduled tennis match in Seville. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Jaume Munar vs Oriol Roca Batalla winning. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, as the outcome will depend on whether Jaume Munar advances against Oriol Roca Batalla.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Jaume Munar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves and public perception. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessment, or simply varied opinions on the players' form and potential performance. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Munar vs Roca Batalla match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Munar vs Roca Batalla match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player will be determined according to standard tennis scoring rules, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the match location might also play a role, as certain players perform better in specific conditions. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could impact overall confidence in player form and affect trading activity in this market.