TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Imanol Lopez Morillo and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Imanol Lopez Morillo' if Imanol Lopez Morillo advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Imanol Lopez Morillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Imanol Lopez Morillo and Pedro Vives Marcos in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Imanol Lopez Morillo' if Imanol Lopez Morillo advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Imanol Lopez Morillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a combination of statistical models and the perceived public betting tendencies, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, or simply the dynamic nature of how information is incorporated into the odds. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new developments than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Imanol Lopez Morillo and Pedro Vives Marcos. The platform will look to established sports news outlets and official tournament results to determine the winner. The process is designed to ensure an objective and transparent determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts or updated rankings could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – can quickly move the market. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also be a catalyst, though less likely. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities.