TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Sevilla versus Valencia La Liga soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 53.0%, with a 16.0% probability for over 1.5 goals. The market will resolve based on whether over 2.5 goals are scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the teams’ lineups and recent form leading up to the match scheduled for September 11, 2026, as this could significantly influence the final score and market outcome.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Sevilla vs Valencia La Liga match scheduled for September 11, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all thresholds. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, such as team statistics and player injuries. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, who weigh information and express their beliefs through their trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market responding to new information. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Sevilla vs Valencia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, providing insight into the liquidity and potential price movements. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Sevilla vs Valencia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome wins. The market will settle based on the total goals scored during regulation time plus any added time, as determined by the official match result. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on the governing rules of the competition and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sevilla or Valencia would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Major tactical announcements from either manager, or even unexpected starting lineups, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a high or low-scoring game could drive increased volume and price adjustments in this market.