TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 6:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the upcoming match between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, focusing on which team will score the first goal within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if neither team will score.
In the upcoming match between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, community-driven insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines, which may incorporate broader public betting patterns or institutional adjustments. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders continuously update prices based on new information, such as lineup changes or weather updates. This can create price gaps; for example, a key player injury might shift prediction odds more dramatically than sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket and Predict, prices can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favored team, while the other could reflect a global, more neutral audience. Additionally, varying volume levels — Polymarket may show higher volume and tighter spreads, while Predict could have wider gaps — influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, leading to temporary mismatches.