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Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
kalshi
limitless
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?

Volume:
$6,112,904

Sevilla FC

all

4 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:26 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sevilla FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,130,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sevilla

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,065,724
N/A
N/A
$736,331
Settled
Yes
limitless

Sevilla

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.3¢
N/A
$1,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

SEV

View
99%
58%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$13,458
$26,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

RAY

View
1%
28%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$128
$77,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vallecano

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$472,894
N/A
N/A
$247,166
Settled
No
limitless

Rayo Vallecano

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$1,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
30%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$126
$4,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$547,385
N/A
N/A
$180,044
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$2,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether Sevilla FC will win their football match against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid on August 15, 2026. The current aggregated consensus probability for Sevilla FC winning is 99.0%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official La Liga statistics. The match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome on August 15, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on resolving based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of win/draw/loss outcomesPrimary resolution logic: Official La Liga statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from consideration
  • Use consensus of credible reporting if official stats not published within 2 hours

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until game is completed, except Limitless cancels to October 14, 2026 deadline
  • Cancellation: Polymarket and Predict resolve 'No' for win markets, 'Yes' for draw; Limitless resolves 'No' for win markets, 'Yes' for draw
Timing: Within 2 hours after match conclusion, using official stats or credible consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Sevilla vs Vallecano professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Sevilla wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Sevilla' market resolves to Yes. If Vallecano wins under the same conditions, the 'Vallecano' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 15, 2026, 19:30 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Sevilla vs. Rayo Vallecano match outcome market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It tracks aggregated volume of $6,112,904 and 24-hour volume of $5,653,057, letting users monitor how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market relative to each other. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest probabilities and liquidity across platforms.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader-driven liquidity pools, while Kalshi may use different fee structures or participant bases. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to variance in implied probabilities, especially when one platform has deeper volume or more active participants. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show distinct leading outcomes, which can amplify price gaps until consensus emerges closer to the event.