TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Women's Champions League soccer match between Servette FC Chênois Féminin and OL Lyonnes, asking whether Servette will win, Lyon will win, or the game will end in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of OL Lyonnes winning on September 23, 2026 is 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported at https://www.uefa.com/womenschampionsleague/. Keep an eye on the official UEFA website as September 23, 2026 approaches for confirmation of the match schedule and any potential changes.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 23, 2026 between Servette FC Chênois Féminin and OL Lyonnes.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Servette Chenois vs Lyon professional Champions League Women's soccer match scheduled for September 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result within this timeframe. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the outcome, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market structure can lead to price variations, even when both platforms are tracking the same event. Additionally, differing user bases and liquidity levels on each platform can contribute to these discrepancies. For example, if Polymarket attracts more sophisticated traders, its prices might be more efficient, while Kalshi could be more influenced by casual bettors. These factors can cause the probabilities to diverge, creating arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.