TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Serie A: Winner
polymarket

Serie A: Winner

Volume:
$1,168

Olimpia Milano

 - Polymarket

Olimpia Milano - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Dec 19, 10:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Olimpia Milano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
Yes
polymarket

Umana Reyer Venezia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Aquila Basket Trento

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Varese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Trapani Shark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Germani Brescia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Treviso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Tortona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Pallacanestro Trieste

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Snaidero Cucine Udine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Team A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Cremona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Napoli Basket

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Pallacanestro Cantù

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Pallacanestro Reggiana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Dinamo Sassari

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
polymarket

Virtus Bologna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks whether Pallacanestro Trieste will win the Serie A championship. On Polymarket, the probability of Trieste winning Serie A stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Serie A information or credible reporting consensus, with the market settling by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Watch for the final Serie A standings announcement before the December 20, 2026 deadline to confirm championship resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Serie A: Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the 2024–25 Serie A season champion. It displays the current probability each team will win the league title, updated continuously as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard shows total group volume of $1,168 and recent 24-hour activity, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment on which club will claim the Scudetto. This data reflects aggregated trader conviction across the entire prediction market for this outcome.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker margins and risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price outcomes based on collective belief. For Serie A: Winner, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbooks like Bet365 or DraftKings can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, injuries, or tactical shifts during the season.

On Polymarket, Serie A: Winner is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities for each team. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each club's outcome token trades independently; the price of a team's share reflects the collective willingness to buy or sell at that level. As traders accumulate conviction around favorites like Inter, Napoli, or Juventus, their prices rise while longer shots fall. Volume and liquidity on each outcome determine how quickly prices move in response to new information or market sentiment shifts.

The Serie A: Winner market resolves on Dec 20, 2026, marking the end of the 2024–25 Serie A season. Resolution is determined by which club finishes first in the final league standings after all 38 matches are played. The outcome is objective and verifiable through official Serie A records and standings published by the Italian Football Federation. No ambiguity exists once the season concludes and final points are tallied.

Major injuries to star players, managerial changes, transfer activity in January, and head-to-head results between title contenders will all shift market prices significantly. Unexpected form collapses or surges by mid-table teams challenging for the top spot can reshape odds. Fixture congestion, European competition exits or advances, and disciplinary suspensions for key players create volatility. Late-season momentum swings, especially in the final months, often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess which club has the strongest path to the Scudetto.