TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 10:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Sergey Spivak and Vitor Petrino will be closely watched to see in which round a fighter secures a victory by knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification. Each round presents a potential for a decisive ending, making the early rounds particularly crucial for fans and analysts.
Markets resolve to Yes if Sergey Spivak or Vitor Petrino wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in the specified round (Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3). A technical decision is considered a decision and does not count as a win in any round. The fight is scheduled for August 22, 2026, and Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League. All trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect the collective wisdom of traders betting on this market, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines due to different positioning and liquidity dynamics. While sportsbooks set their odds based on broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, this market lets participants bet directly on round-specific outcomes, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced pricing depending on recent news and fighter form.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round of victory will be determined by the official result of the Spivak vs Petrino bout, as recognized by the governing boxing authority and widely reported by sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media appearances, training updates or injury reports for either fighter, changes in betting volumes, and analyst predictions from respected combat sports commentators. Any development that alters perceptions of striking range, endurance, or tactical approach may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reposition.