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Serbia vs Netherlands: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Serbia vs Netherlands?

Volume:
$274,770

Netherlands wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Netherlands wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 1:55 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Netherlands wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199,991
N/A
N/A
$99,355
Settled
No
kalshi

Netherlands wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,147
N/A
N/A
$20,584
Settled
No
kalshi

Serbia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,980
N/A
N/A
$13,810
Settled
No
kalshi

Serbia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,625
N/A
N/A
$4,575
Settled
No
kalshi

Netherlands wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,027
N/A
N/A
$2,007
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Serbia and the Netherlands, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how analysts and fans might assess the relative strength and performance of the teams based on the final score after regular time.

Kalshi

The event consists of four separate markets, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either Serbia or the Netherlands in their UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 27, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated team wins by the exact margin or greater specified in the respective market—Serbia must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while the Netherlands must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. No market resolves if the match ends in a draw, if the winning margin exactly meets the threshold without exceeding it, or if the game is decided in extra time or penalties. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Serbia vs Netherlands match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, volume is $258,342 and total volume to date is $274,770. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and how it evolves as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will land, offering insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes for this sporting event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Serbia vs Netherlands match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating greater confidence in that result, while increased selling pressure will lower the price.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Serbia vs Netherlands match as reported by official sources. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Serbian or Dutch teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could all lead to shifts in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes for the Serbia vs Netherlands match.