TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Serbia vs. Iceland
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Serbia vs. Iceland

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Intro

This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Serbia vs. Iceland FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game will be over or under 174.5 points. The aggregated consensus probability for exceeding 174.5 points is 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the official FIBA basketball website. Watch for the game result on August 28, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have divergent resolution structures: Polymarket uses a binary outcome (Serbia/Iceland) while Kalshi uses a Yes/No format, creating potential interpretation challenges for edge cases like postponement or cancellation.Hero tip: Traders should carefully consider the different resolution logics and potential edge cases; Polymarket provides explicit handling for postponement and cancellation, while Kalshi's description lacks clarity on these scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Serbia or Iceland based on the winner; remains open if postponed, resolves 50-50 if canceled. "If the Serbia win, the market will resolve to 'Serbia'. If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to 'Iceland'. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins; no explicit handling for postponement or cancellation in the provided description. "If Serbia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Iceland wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Serbia win, the market will resolve to "Serbia". If the Iceland win, the market will resolve to "Iceland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Iceland vs Serbia men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 28, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets will stay open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Serbia vs. Iceland match outcome market aggregates betting data across platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends. It tracks how trader sentiment shifts as the event approaches, reflecting collective expectations about which team will win. The view combines inputs from multiple venues, letting users see a consolidated snapshot of market activity and consensus. This centralized display helps participants spot momentum swings and compare expectations against other predictive sources.

Injuries, weather updates, and tactical changes can shift expectations and move this market. Key moments such as star-player status reports, coaching decisions, or even geopolitical factors affecting venue conditions may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also react to betting volume surges or notable public sentiment shifts on either platform, making real-time news monitoring essential for anticipating market moves.