TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Greece, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Greece in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Serbia and Greece score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Greece, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Greece in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Serbia and Greece score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Greece" if Greece score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket to reflect that belief. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially when there’s strong conviction among traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, and traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each result. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the Serbia vs. Greece match will be used to determine the winning share. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and declare the outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Public opinion and expert analysis can also play a role, particularly if there’s a shift in perceived team strengths. Monitoring social media and sports news sources can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that might move this market.