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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Serbia vs. Greece
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Serbia vs. Greece?

Volume:
$1,317,115

Greece

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Greece

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$251,166
N/A
N/A
$130,720
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Greece

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

GRC

View
99%
63%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,094
$24,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

SER

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,353
$50,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Serbia

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$411,825
N/A
N/A
$182,784
Settled
No
polymarket

Serbia

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$200
$26,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$161,585
N/A
N/A
$78,094
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Serbia vs. Greece)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Greece will win its UEFA Nations League soccer match against Serbia on September 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Greece winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on September 24, 2026, to see if this forecast holds true as the game progresses within the 90-minute regulation window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving the markets based on the official result of the match within the standard 90-minute timeframe, with consistent fallback procedures for data sourcing and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours as dictated by the fallback data sourcing procedures.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Serbia and Greece.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins or when the match concludes as a tie, depending on the market. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Serbia and Greece.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While there can be correlation, discrepancies often arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential outcome of the Serbia vs. Greece match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Serbia vs. Greece match can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market structures on each platform – such as the types of orders allowed or the margin requirements – may contribute to discrepancies. The volume on Polymarket is currently higher, potentially indicating greater conviction or information flow among its traders, which impacts the odds offered. These variations are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each venue.