TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:27 AM EST
Kalshi
Seoul and Pohang Steelers will compete in a Korea K League 1 professional soccer match on July 22, 2026. These markets track the goal differential between the teams, with separate outcomes for each team winning by specified margins.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential in the Seoul vs Pohang Steelers professional Korea K League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve to Yes if Seoul wins by more than 2.5 goals, Seoul wins by more than 1.5 goals, Pohang Steelers wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Pohang Steelers wins by more than 2.5 goals, depending on the specific outcome. The resolution is determined solely by the official final score at the end of regulation play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction about the spread without the sportsbook's built-in vig, potentially offering a purer signal of expected value. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception may diverge from informed market pricing, though both sources provide useful reference points for understanding the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the final spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, with each point representing a 1 percent probability increment. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market price reflects the equilibrium between supply and demand at any moment. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically, allowing participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the Seoul versus Pohang Steelers match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual point spread—the margin of victory—at the end of regulation play. Once the result is confirmed and published by official sports reporting channels, the market settles based on whether the spread falls within the specified range. Traders holding positions will see their contracts cash out according to the verified final margin.
Key catalysts for this market include team injury announcements, lineup changes, recent form and momentum shifts, and head-to-head tactical adjustments. Weather conditions on match day can also influence scoring patterns and the final spread. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side may signal informed opinion and shift prices. Media narratives, coaching decisions, and any last-minute roster news closer to kickoff could trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor all these signals to adjust their positions and capitalize on mispricings before the event unfolds.